Clinical Prediction Rules: Difference between revisions

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== Clinical Prediction Rules (CPRs)<br>  ==
== Clinical Prediction Rules (CPRs)<br>  ==


CPRs are mathematical tools that are intended to guide physiotherapists in their everyday clinical decision making <ref name="1">Adams ST, Leveson SH. Clinical prediction rules. BMJ 2012; 344.</ref>. CPRs provide physiotherapists with an evidence-based tool to assist in patient management when determining a particular diagnosis or prognosis, or when predicting a response to a particular intervention.&nbsp;In other words, CPRs are diagnostic, prognostic, or interventional/prescriptive. To date, the large majority of CPRs within the physiotherpay literature are prescriptive in nature (reference pending).&nbsp;The popularity of CPRs has increased greatly over the past few years <ref name="1">Adams ST, Leveson SH. Clinical prediction rules. BMJ 2012; 344.</ref>.  
CPRs are mathematical tools that are intended to guide physiotherapists in their everyday clinical decision making <ref name="1">Adams ST, Leveson SH. Clinical prediction rules. BMJ 2012; 344.</ref>. CPRs provide physiotherapists with an evidence-based tool to assist in patient management when determining a particular diagnosis or prognosis, or when predicting a response to a particular intervention.&nbsp;In other words, CPRs are diagnostic, prognostic, or interventional/prescriptive. To date, the large majority of CPRs within the physiotherpay literature are prescriptive in nature <ref name="2">Glynn PE, Weisback PC. Prediction Rules: A Physical Therapy Reference Manual. London: Jones and Bartlett Publishers International, 2011.</ref>.&nbsp;The popularity of CPRs has increased greatly over the past few years <ref name="1">Adams ST, Leveson SH. Clinical prediction rules. BMJ 2012; 344.</ref>.  


In many ways much of the art of physiotherapy boils down to playing the percentages and predicting outcomes. For example, when physiotherapists do a subjective assessment with a patient they ask the questions that they think are the most likely to provide them with the information they need to make a diagnosis. They might then order the objective assessment tests that they think are the most likely to support or refute their various differential diagnoses. With each new piece of the puzzle some hypotheses will become more likely and others less likely. At the end of the assessment the physiotherapist will decide which intervention is likely to result in the optimal outcome for the patient, based on the information they have collected &nbsp;<ref name="1" />.  
In many ways much of the art of physiotherapy boils down to playing the percentages and predicting outcomes. For example, when physiotherapists do a subjective assessment with a patient they ask the questions that they think are the most likely to provide them with the information they need to make a diagnosis. They might then order the objective assessment tests that they think are the most likely to support or refute their various differential diagnoses. With each new piece of the puzzle some hypotheses will become more likely and others less likely. At the end of the assessment the physiotherapist will decide which intervention is likely to result in the optimal outcome for the patient, based on the information they have collected &nbsp;<ref name="1" />.  
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Given that the above process is the underlying principle of physiotherapy clinical practice, and bearing in mind the ever increasing time constraints imposed on physiotherapists, it is unsurprising that a great deal of work has been done to facilitate physiotherapists and patients to make decisions. This work in referred to by many names: CPRs, prediction rules, probability assessments, prediction models, decision rules, risk scores, etc. All describe the combination of multiple predictors, such as patient characteristics and investigation results, to estimate the probability of certain outcomes or to identify which treatment is most likely to be effective &nbsp;<ref name="1" />.  
Given that the above process is the underlying principle of physiotherapy clinical practice, and bearing in mind the ever increasing time constraints imposed on physiotherapists, it is unsurprising that a great deal of work has been done to facilitate physiotherapists and patients to make decisions. This work in referred to by many names: CPRs, prediction rules, probability assessments, prediction models, decision rules, risk scores, etc. All describe the combination of multiple predictors, such as patient characteristics and investigation results, to estimate the probability of certain outcomes or to identify which treatment is most likely to be effective &nbsp;<ref name="1" />.  


Despite the increasing popularity of CPRs, they are not without limitations and should be subjected to the scientific scrutiny of continued methodological sound research. Despite the fact that the majority of CPRs useful to physiotherapists exist in the initial stages of development, in the absense of strong evidence, they are capable of proving useful information to the physiotherpaist that may in turn enhance patient outcomes. CPRs should not be constructed as removal of the clinical decision-making process from physiotherpay practice. Instead, they should be used to elimiate some of the uncertainty that occurs with each and every clinical encounter and provide a level of evidnce on which physiotherapists can make decisions with adequate confidence.&nbsp;The idea is to stick with the principles of evidence-based practice, and to incorporate the best availalbe evidnce (including CPRs) combined with clinical expertise and patient preference to improve the overall quality of care provided to individual patients (reference pending).
Despite the increasing popularity of CPRs, they are not without limitations and should be subjected to the scientific scrutiny of continued methodological sound research. Despite the fact that the majority of CPRs useful to physiotherapists exist in the initial stages of development, in the absense of strong evidence, they are capable of proving useful information to the physiotherpaist that may in turn enhance patient outcomes. CPRs should not be constructed as removal of the clinical decision-making process from physiotherpay practice. Instead, they should be used to elimiate some of the uncertainty that occurs with each and every clinical encounter and provide a level of evidnce on which physiotherapists can make decisions with adequate confidence.&nbsp;The idea is to stick with the principles of evidence-based practice, and to incorporate the best availalbe evidnce (including CPRs) combined with clinical expertise and patient preference to improve the overall quality of care provided to individual patients&nbsp;<ref name="2" />.


=== Diagnosis  ===
=== Diagnosis  ===

Revision as of 21:40, 3 December 2013

Clinical Prediction Rules (CPRs)
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CPRs are mathematical tools that are intended to guide physiotherapists in their everyday clinical decision making Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name cannot be a simple integer. Use a descriptive title. CPRs provide physiotherapists with an evidence-based tool to assist in patient management when determining a particular diagnosis or prognosis, or when predicting a response to a particular intervention. In other words, CPRs are diagnostic, prognostic, or interventional/prescriptive. To date, the large majority of CPRs within the physiotherpay literature are prescriptive in nature Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name cannot be a simple integer. Use a descriptive title. The popularity of CPRs has increased greatly over the past few years Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name cannot be a simple integer. Use a descriptive title.

In many ways much of the art of physiotherapy boils down to playing the percentages and predicting outcomes. For example, when physiotherapists do a subjective assessment with a patient they ask the questions that they think are the most likely to provide them with the information they need to make a diagnosis. They might then order the objective assessment tests that they think are the most likely to support or refute their various differential diagnoses. With each new piece of the puzzle some hypotheses will become more likely and others less likely. At the end of the assessment the physiotherapist will decide which intervention is likely to result in the optimal outcome for the patient, based on the information they have collected  Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name cannot be a simple integer. Use a descriptive title.

Given that the above process is the underlying principle of physiotherapy clinical practice, and bearing in mind the ever increasing time constraints imposed on physiotherapists, it is unsurprising that a great deal of work has been done to facilitate physiotherapists and patients to make decisions. This work in referred to by many names: CPRs, prediction rules, probability assessments, prediction models, decision rules, risk scores, etc. All describe the combination of multiple predictors, such as patient characteristics and investigation results, to estimate the probability of certain outcomes or to identify which treatment is most likely to be effective  Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name cannot be a simple integer. Use a descriptive title.

Despite the increasing popularity of CPRs, they are not without limitations and should be subjected to the scientific scrutiny of continued methodological sound research. Despite the fact that the majority of CPRs useful to physiotherapists exist in the initial stages of development, in the absense of strong evidence, they are capable of proving useful information to the physiotherpaist that may in turn enhance patient outcomes. CPRs should not be constructed as removal of the clinical decision-making process from physiotherpay practice. Instead, they should be used to elimiate some of the uncertainty that occurs with each and every clinical encounter and provide a level of evidnce on which physiotherapists can make decisions with adequate confidence. The idea is to stick with the principles of evidence-based practice, and to incorporate the best availalbe evidnce (including CPRs) combined with clinical expertise and patient preference to improve the overall quality of care provided to individual patients Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name cannot be a simple integer. Use a descriptive title.

Diagnosis[edit | edit source]

Prognosis[edit | edit source]

Intervention[edit | edit source]

Diagnosis[edit | edit source]

Intervention[edit | edit source]

References[edit | edit source]